Alexey Lyubushin



1971-1977 - Moscow Physical Technical Institute, Department of Aerophysics & Cosmic Investigations.
1977-1984 - Institute of Problems for Mechanics, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Research Scientist.
1984-now - Institute of Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Head of Laboratory.
1997-now - also Professor of the Department of Mathematics of Russian State Geological Prospecting University.

Ph.D., 1981, in theoretical mechanics (numerical methods of optimal control),
Dr.Sci., 1996, in geophysics (applying multidimensional statistics to monitoring),

Address:
Institute of the Physics of the Earth,
Russian Academy of Sciences,
Bol'shaya Gruzinskya, 10,
Moscow, 123995.
Fax:      +7(499)766-26-54
Phone:  +7(499)254-23-50
E-mail: lyubushin@yandex.ru, lyubushin@hotbox.ru, lyubushin@pochta.ru

Research interests: multidimensional time series analysis; wavelet analysis;
                              applying of multidimensional statistics to geophysical monitoring and earthquake prediction;
                              seismic hazard assessment, geostatistics.

The whole number of publications: 180.

You can download following papers, posters, presentations and books in pdf-format and some software within zip-files:

Great Japan Earthquake M=9.0, 2011.03.11, prediction by microseismic noise properties:

  • " Prediction of Great Japan Earthquake 11 March of 2011 by analysis of microseismic noise (RUS)"
  • " Prediction of Great Japan Earthquake 11 March of 2011 by analysis of microseismic noise"
  • " Does Japan approach great earthquake (the question since middle of 2008)? Yes, this prediction was true (after 11 of March 2011)."
  • " EGU-2010, 02-07 May, Vienna, Extended Poster: Synchronization of parameters of low-frequency microseisms"
  • " Synchronization phenomena of low-frequency microseisms. European Seismological Commission, 32nd General Assembly, September 06-10, 2010, Montpelier, France. Book of abstracts, p.124, session ES6"
  • " Trends and Rhythms of Synchronization of Low-Frequency Microseisms Multifractal Properties"
  • " Trends and Rhythms of Synchronization of Low-Frequency Microseisms Multifractal Properties (RUS)"
  • " The Statistics of the Time Segments of LowFrequency Microseisms: Trends and Synchronization"
  • " The Statistics of the Time Segments of LowFrequency Microseisms: Trends and Synchronization (RUS)"
  • " Cluster Analysis of Low-Frequency Microseismic Noise"
  • " Cluster Analysis of Low-Frequency Microseismic Noise (RUS)"
  • " Seismic Catastrophe in Japan on March 11, 2011: Long-Term Prediction on the Basis of Low-Frequency Microseisms"
  • " Seismic Catastrophe in Japan on March 11, 2011: Long-Term Prediction on the Basis of Low-Frequency Microseisms (RUS)"
  • " Seismic noise analysis provides estimates of magnitude, time and place of seismic catastrophe in Japan at 11 March 2011 (RUS)"
  • " IUGG-2011, 27 Jun - 08 Jul, Melbourne, Extended Poster: Japan Seismic Catastrophe 11 of March 2011. Long-term prediction by microseismic noise properties."
  • " Russian TV-channel "Top Secret". "Echo of Japanese tragedy". Record at 25 March 2011"

    Seismic Noise at the vicinity of Japan Islands after March 11, 2011: the Danger of the Next Mega-Earthquake near Tokyo:

  • " AGU-2011, 05-09 Dec, San Francisco, Poster: Prediction of Tohoku Seismic Catastrophe by microseismic noise multi-fractal properties."
  • " Report at IPE RAS, Moscow, 09.02.2012: Loss of multifractality of seismic noise at Japan islands (RUS)"
  • " Prognostic properties of low-frequency seismic noise. Natural Science, Vol.4, No.8A, 659-666. doi: 10.4236/ns.2012.428087"
  • " Prediction of Great Japan Earthquake (RUS) - Russian "Nature", 2012, No.8"
  • " Mapping the Properties of Low-Frequency Microseisms for Seismic Hazard Assessment"
  • " Mapping the Properties of Low-Frequency Microseisms for Seismic Hazard Assessment (RUS)"
  • " Report at IPE RAS, Moscow, 21.03.2013: Two years after Tohoku (RUS)"
  • " EGU-2013, 07-12 April, Vienna, Extended Poster: Spots of Seismic Danger Extracted by Properties of Low-Frequency Seismic Noise"
  • " How soon would the next mega-earthquake occur in Japan?"
  • " How soon would the next mega-earthquake occur in Japan? Natural Science, Vol.5, No.8A1, 1-7. doi: 10.4236/ns.2013.58A1001"
  • " Fragment from the TV program "Is it possible to predict earthquake?" by Tokyo Broadcasting System, 25 April 2013 (time interval 03:18 - 05:30)"

    Low Frequency Microseismic Background Noise Analysis:

  • " MicroSeismic Oscillations before Strong Earthquakes"
  • " Microseismic Impulses as Earthquake Precursors"
  • " Multifractal Measures of Synchronization of Microseismic Oscillations in a Minute Range of Periods"
  • " Microseismic Anomalies before the Sumatra Earthquake of December 26, 2004"
  • " Using modern seismological data to reveal earthquake precursors"
  • " Asymmetrical Pulses, the Periodicity and Synchronization of Low Frequency Microseisms"
  • " Asymmetrical Pulses, the Periodicity and Synchronization of Low Frequency Microseisms (RUS)"
  • " Microseismic Noise in the Low Frequency Range: Properties and Possible Prognostic Features"
  • " Microseismic Noise in the Low Frequency Range: Properties and Possible Prognostic Features (RUS)"
  • " Maps of Linear Synchroniation for the Properties of Global Low-Frequency Seismic Noise (RUS)"
  • " Analysis of Coherence in Global Seismic Noise"
  • " Analysis of Coherence in Global Seismic Noise (RUS)"
  • " Maps of Global Seismic Noise Properties"
  • " Global Seismic Noise Synchronization and Seismic Danger (ESC 2014, Istanbul, full paper)"
  • " Global Seismic Noise Synchronization and Seismic Danger (ESC 2014, Istanbul, poster)"
  • " Properties of GPS noise before and after Tohoku mega-earthquake"
  • " Properties of the GPS noise fields in connection with seismicity (RUS)"

    Analysis of Monitoring Time Series in the Physics of the Solid Earth:

  • " Response Function Evolution from Atmospheric Pressure to Underground Water Level (isle Shikotan)"
  • " Spectral Matrices of Geochemical Time Series, Kamchatka"
  • " Classification of States of Monitoring Systems"
  • " Coherence Analysis of Tidal Underground Water Level Variations"
  • " Canonical Coherences in the Problems of Geophysical Monitoring"
  • " Multiple Spectral Coherence Measure based on Canonical Coherences"
  • " Fourier Aggregated Signal of Multiple Time Series"
  • " Recognition of Slow Events in an Aseismic Region"
  • " Wavelet Aggregated Signal of Multiple Time Series for Earthquake Prediction"
  • " Wavelet Analysis of Geophysical Monitoring Multiple Time Series"
  • " Robust Wavelet Aggregated Signal of Multiple Time Series"
  • " Multiple Wavelet Analysis of Electrotelluric Time Series"

    Analysis of Seismic Catalogs:

  • " Seismic Regimes Interaction Analysis by Influence Matrices Method"
  • " Seismicity Periodicity"
  • " Seismicity Periodicity in Moving Time Window"
  • " Time-Frequency Analysis of Seismicity"
  • " Precursor of Sumatra, 26.12.2004, M=9, Earthquake"
  • " Multidimensional Wavelet Analysis of Seismicity"
  • " Periodic Components of Aftershocks Series Intensity - RUS"

    Analysis of Monitoring Time Series in the Hydrology, Meteorology, Oceanography and Climate:

  • " Coherence measures of rivers runoff time series"
  • " Canonical Coherences of Caspian Sea Level Variations"
  • " Multiple Spectral Analysis of Caspian Sea Level Variations"
  • " Wavelet-Based Robust Coherence Measures Analysis of Sea Level and Wind"
  • " Statistical Methods for River Runoff Prediction"
  • " Long WTMM-Chains of Rivers Runoff Time Series"
  • " Long WTMM-Chains of Rivers Runoff Time Series (RUS)"
  • " Fuel Consumption and Global dT"
  • " Short Term Global dT Prediction Using 60-70 Years Periodicity"
  • " Cyclic climate variations: data analysis, scenario, prediction (RUS)"

    Analysis of 3C Seismic Records:

  • " Wavelet-Based 3C Seismic Records Classification"
  • " Wavelet-Packet Method for P and S-waves arrival time detection"
  • " Wavelet-Packet Method for P and S-waves arrival time detection (RUS)"

    Seismic Hazard Estimates:

  • " Bayesian Approach to Seismic Hazard Estimation"
  • " Seismic Hazard Bayesian Estimates in Circum-Pacific Belt"
  • " Bayesian Estimates of Seismic Hazard"
  • " Map of seismic hazard of India using Bayesian approach"

    Geostatistics:

  • " Anisotropic 2D Kernels"

    Books:

  • " Lyubushin A.A. Geophysical Monitoring Data Analysis (RUS)"
  • " Klyashtorin L.B., Lyubushin A.A. Cyclic Climate Changes and Fish Productivity (RUS)."
  • " Klyashtorin L.B., Lyubushin A.A. Cyclic Climate Changes and Fish Productivity"

    Other:

  • " Wavelet-Based Robust Coherence Measures of Multiple Time Series"
  • " Software for Point Processes Periodicity Detecting and Scalar Time Series Data Mining"
  • " Software for Point Processes Periodicity Detecting and Scalar Time Series Data Mining (in Russian)"
  • " Manual for program of multidimensional compensation (in Russian)"

    Exe-file of the program PPPeriod for detecting hidden periodicities within point process:

  • " Zip-file Program_PPPeriod.zip"

    Exe-file of the program Spectra_Analyzer for Scalar Time Series Data Mining with all necessary DLLs:

  • " Zip-file SpAn.zip"

    Software for Monitoring Systems:

  • " General Description (in Russian)"

  • " Practical Course for Multidimensional Time Series Analysis (in Russian)"

  • " Point Processes Analysis: Periodicities and Mutual Influences (in Russian)"

  • " Manual for interactive program for scalar signals properties data mining (in Russian)"
  • " Manual for interactive program for scalar signals properties data mining (in English)"
  • " Program for scalar signals properties data mining (within zip-file)"

  • " Manual for the program for detecting periodic components within intensity of point processes (in Russian)"
  • " Manual for the program for detecting periodic components within intensity of point processes (in English)"
  • " Program for detecting periodic components within intensity of point processes (within zip-file)"

  • " Manual for the program for detecting periodic components of intensity of point processes in a moving event window (in Russian)"
  • " Program for detecting periodic components of intensity of point processes in a moving event window (within zip-file)"

  • " Manual for the program of estimating Poissonian, self-exciting & mutual intensity shares for 2 point processes (in Russian)"
  • " Program of estimating Poissonian, self-exciting & mutual intensity shares for 2 point processes (within zip-file)"

  • " Manual for the programs of multidimensional compensation and cross-spectral analysis (in Russian)"
  • " Programs of multidimensional compensation and cross-spectral analysis (within zip-file)"

  • " Manual for the auxiliary program for making list of filenames for further joint processing (in Russian)"
  • " Auxiliary program for making list of filenames for further joint processing (within zip-file)"

  • " Manual for the program of estimating multidimensional spectral coherence measure within moving time window (in Russian)"
  • " Program of estimating multidimensional spectral coherence measure within moving time window (within zip-file)"

  • " Manual for the program of estimating Fourier-aggregated signal of multidimensional time series (in Russian)"
  • " Program of estimating Fourier-aggregated signal of multidimensional time series (within zip-file)"

  • " Manual for the programs of estimating multidimensional wavelet-based coherence measures within moving time window (in Russian)"
  • " Program of estimating multidimensional wavelet-based coherence measures within moving time window (within zip-file)"

  • " Manual for the programs of estimating wavelet-aggregated signal of multidimensional time series (in Russian)"
  • " Programs of estimating wavelet-aggregated signal of multidimensional time series (within zip-file)"

  • " Manual for the program of orthogonal wavelet-based estimating of spectral and Hurst exponents within moving time window (in Russian)"
  • " Programs of orthogonal wavelet-based estimating of spectral and Hurst exponents within moving time window (within zip-file)"

  • " Manual for the program of estimating multifractal singularity spectra parameters within moving time window (in Russian)"
  • " Programs of estimating multifractal singularity spectra parameters within moving time window (within zip-file)"